Latest economic research thinking
When is a trade war not a trade war?
23 Apr 2018
The latest feud between the US and China has sparked fears of an all out trade war, with much at stake for both countries and the wider world.
Global equity markets hit by worries over US rates
6 Mar 2018
Global shares suffered their first monthly decline in over a year as the prospect of looser US fiscal policy weighed on bond markets amid concern US interest rates will rise faster as inflation creeps up.
The global economy is once again firing on all cylinders
1 Mar 2018
As the global economy regains its pre-crisis vigour, central banks will withdraw their support. This means investors will have to be much more discerning in deciding where to put their money.
Private debt: digging below the surface
4 Jan 2018
With a wide range of yields on offer, investors should take a considered approach to assessing the relative merits of different types of private debt to achieve the best outcomes, writes John Dewey
Catalonia readies for landmark election
18 Dec 2017
On December 21 the people of Catalonia go to the polls to elect a new regional government. There is a lot riding on the outcome, not just for Spain’s political system, but for the country’s economy and financial markets too.
Trump year two: ten issues to watch
28 Nov 2017
From late night tweets to tough talk on trade, Donald Trump’s first year in office has been far from dull. We explore some key developments investors should look out for over the next 12 months.
Electoral reforms might halt Five Star, but Italy’s challenges remain
31 Oct 2017
Italians will head to the polls in the spring to elect their next government. Despite recent electoral reforms, Charlie Diebel explains why Italian uncertainty is unlikely to disappear.
Inequality: for richer, for poorer
19 Oct 2017
Income inequality is rising across developed countries. What are the implications for economic growth?
Trump, trade and technology
18 Oct 2017
In a wide-ranging interview, influential economist Pippa Malmgren considers the Trump presidency, Brexit and the future of capitalism.
The chairman: how Xi Jinping is shaping China’s future
28 Sep 2017
The National Party Congress will leave the Chinese President more powerful than ever before. What does this mean for China – and the world?
Macron victory spurs renewed hope of European integration
10 Jul 2017
Emmanuel Macron’s election as French president has raised hopes that the European project is set to be given renewed impetus. This could mark a sea change for financial markets, writes Ahmed Behdenna.
Spheres of influence: the return of history?
13 Mar 2017
As the US, Russia and China reposition themselves on the world stage, Cold War-style spheres of influence are coming to define the new global order.