Recent thinking

Real Assets
From crisis comes opportunity: What’s normal now?
2 Mar. 2021
Big challenges bring us the opportunity to think differently. Our investment teams reveal what they have learnt from COVID-19, and how they are preparing to face whatever ‘normal’ emerges in a post-pandemic world.
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Real Assets
How Manchester transformed into a city of the future
26 Feb. 2021
Once an industrial powerhouse, Manchester reversed its decline to become one of Europe's top creative capitals. Watch our video to find out why we call it a city of the future.
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Real Assets
RPI reform: The implications for real assets
22 Feb. 2021
With the methodology for calculating the UK Retail Prices Index set to change in 2030, we explore the implications for real assets.
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Equities
Pixie dust and demon dust: The little things that make a big difference in equity markets
19 Feb. 2021
To gain an accurate picture of a company’s long-term prospects, investors must pay close attention to the details, says Giles Parkinson.
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Economic Research
The investment industry should get ready for the rise of the millennials
18 Feb. 2021
The millennial generation is set to inherit trillions over the coming decade. Asset managers and advisers must engage with these younger investors to understand their requirements, says Apiramy Jeyarajah.
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Equities
When it comes to emerging markets, small is beautiful
17 Feb. 2021
With concentration increasing in major emerging market indices, small cap companies can offer investors welcome diversification, says Will Ballard.
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Insurance
Multi-asset allocation views: Room to grow
16 Feb. 2021
The early part of a year gives investors an opportunity to take stock. Sunil Krishnan reflects on how the current environment is shaping our views for multi-asset portfolios.
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Equities
Weather shifts and white elephants: How climate risk is moving the goalposts for emerging market investors
10 Feb. 2021
Droughts and water shortages used to be associated with the world’s poorest countries. Now middle-income economies are suffering the effects of extreme weather too, with significant implications for investors, says Will Ballard.
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Equities
The AIQ Podcast: The future of the internet
9 Feb. 2021
Commercial and geopolitical forces are threatening to fracture the internet. In this episode of the AIQ podcast, we explore the implications for investors.
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Equities
EM equities: Will Chinese regulators tear down the house that Jack built?
5 Feb. 2021
In late 2020, Chinese authorities announced an antitrust investigation into e-commerce giant Alibaba and halted the IPO of its financial services affiliate, Ant Group. Alistair Way looks at the implications for investors in Chinese tech.
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Equities
The COVID Nudge
28 Jan. 2021
In these data visualisations, we look at whether COVID-19 will achieve something that millions spent on public health campaigning has failed to do.
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Insurance
A time for action: Race, ethnicity and investing
28 Jan. 2021
In a two-part feature, we look at what asset managers need to focus their engagement efforts on to make a difference on anti-black racism, and why the industry needs to get its own house in order.
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Real Assets
Virtual reality: How COVID-19 is reshaping the world of work
27 Jan. 2021
While the coronavirus pandemic has devastated livelihoods, it also presents an opportunity for companies and policymakers to reinvent the world of work. The future is full of possibilities – but no easy answers.
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AIQ Feature
Cutting loose: COVID-19 deals globalisation a further blow
27 Jan. 2021
Globalisation’s image problem may have been further tarnished by the pandemic, but can political leaders use the crisis to reform it for the better and resist the urge to abandon it altogether?
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AIQ Feature
United Europe: From discord to harmony?
26 Jan. 2021
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?
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Responsible Investing
Hot wheels: Cars, climate change and the great EV disconnect
25 Jan. 2021
With traditional carmakers under intense pressure to cut emissions in the fight against climate change, investors are putting their money behind pure play electric vehicle producers. Alessandro Rovelli digs into the numbers to assess whether this trend is sustainable.
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AIQ: The Now Normal
It has taken a global pandemic to make us see the value of living in the present, but it is just one example of seismic changes taking place that we must live with and adapt to, as we explore in AIQ: The Now Normal.

AIQ: The Risk Edition
COVID-19 has shown how quickly a single event can disrupt a globalised economy. AIQ explores some of the biggest threats facing the world, from cybersecurity to environmental disasters, and considers the investment implications.

The Little Book of Data
A curated collection of the infographics shaping our views on markets and economics. Limited availability, so reserve your copy of The Little Book of Data now.

The AIQ Podcast
We sit down with some of the best minds in economics, finance and academia to break down important ideas in investing, challenge conventional thinking, and have a bit of fun. The AIQ Podcast brings you the ideas that matter, the intuition behind the results, and the understanding to apply them.

Macro House View
Our House View represents the best collective judgement of Aviva Investors on the current and future investment environment.
AIQ features

The COVID Nudge
In these data visualisations, we look at whether COVID-19 will achieve something that millions spent on public health campaigning has failed to do.
Read more

A time for action: Race, ethnicity and investing
In a two-part feature, we look at what asset managers need to focus their engagement efforts on to make a difference on anti-black racism, and why the industry needs to get its own house in order.
Read more

Virtual reality: How COVID-19 is reshaping the world of work
While the coronavirus pandemic has devastated livelihoods, it also presents an opportunity for companies and policymakers to reinvent the world of work. The future is full of possibilities – but no easy answers.
Read more

Cutting loose: COVID-19 deals globalisation a further blow
Globalisation’s image problem may have been further tarnished by the pandemic, but can political leaders use the crisis to reform it for the better and resist the urge to abandon it altogether?
Read more

United Europe: From discord to harmony?
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?
Read more

Empire states of mind: Is the age of US exceptionalism at an end?
As the world starts to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic, the US’s position as global hegemon will be under mortal threat from a resurgent China that looks to have escaped the virus relatively unscathed.
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What a carve up! The future of the internet
Commercial and geopolitical forces are threatening to fracture the internet into competing regimes, making it harder for companies to operate across borders and potentially limiting their growth. We explore the implications for investors.
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Building back better: The path to net zero
While much of the world’s focus continues to be on tackling the COVID-19 pandemic, the climate crisis also requires urgent attention. The number of countries and companies supporting the move to a lower-carbon world is growing, but practical challenges remain. How can we build back better after COVID, and navigate to a cleaner, safer and sustainable world?
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How the US can lead on climate finance: A five-point plan for President Biden’s first year
The US went backwards on tackling climate change under President Trump. His successor Joe Biden must act quickly to make up for lost time, says Steve Waygood.
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Roll of the dice: Risk and resilience in an age of uncertainty
The coronavirus pandemic has highlighted the difficulties of managing risk in an increasingly globalised and interconnected world. We explore how organisations can stay resilient through an era of radical change.
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The evolution of ESG: More than just a risk mitigator
Once dismissed as a virtuous endeavour that compromised investment returns, the ability to gain a more holistic view of risk by considering environmental, social and governance factors is increasingly appreciated by investors. We assess the evolution of ESG across asset classes, as well as its role as a risk mitigator and opportunity spotter.
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The Technocrat: Lord Adair Turner
With developed economies stuck in a high-debt and low interest rate trap, the former head of Britain’s financial watchdog believes central banks should break a long-held taboo and finance governments directly.
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Economics and ethics: Why diversity matters
In business, diversity can be the difference between success and failure. But while progress towards it has been frustratingly slow in many areas, the pressure is mounting on companies to act.
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Pandemic risk: When will we learn our lesson?
COVID-19 has reminded us that the sources of economic and financial crises can be wildly unpredictable. However, while spotting patient zero in advance was nigh on impossible, pandemic risk was well telegraphed. In the first part of our mini-series, The source of the next crisis, we consider whether an infectious disease could wrong-foot us again or whether governments will learn their lesson.
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Cybersecurity in the fourth industrial revolution
COVID-19 shocked investors into taking pandemic risks more seriously. In an increasingly connected world, where data is the new oil, could cyberattacks be the next big threat?
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Inflation hawks: Crying wolf?
Twelve years on from the financial crisis, inflation hawks are back. They were proved wrong then, but could this time be different? In part three of our mini-series on the source of the next crisis, we explore the extent to which inflation poses a risk to the global economy and financial stability.
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