Latest economic research thinking
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Debt, demand and demographics: Can the Chinese economy avoid ‘Japanification’?
29 Nov 2022
With an ageing population, rising debt and vulnerabilities in the property market, China risks following Japan’s path from runaway growth to financial crisis and stagnation. Can Xi’s government rebalance the economy and change course?
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Confronting a permacrisis? The intersection between antimicrobial resistance, climate change and biodiversity loss
23 Nov 2022
Will a warmer and less biodiverse world give pathogens new opportunities, and do we have the tools to confront disease? This report discusses the complex intersection of three planetary crises and calls for urgent action to slow resistance to antimicrobial drugs – an obvious public health emergency.
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What does the data say? Politics and markets
11 Nov 2022
In this month’s instalment of our visual series on topical themes, we look at how political events have shaped markets in 2022 and further back in time.
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When the numbers don’t add up: UK learns painful lesson not to buck the market
8 Nov 2022
Governments around the world would do well to heed the lessons of recent chaotic events in Britain that concluded with Liz Truss becoming the country’s shortest-lived prime minister.
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Supply chains, painkillers and gene editing: ESG risks in pharma
29 Jun 2022
Reflecting on ESG risks in the pharmaceutical industry, Sora Utzinger discusses supply chains and counterfeit medicines, access to painkillers, and the ethics of gene editing.
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Deep water: Ten threats to marine ecosystems
8 Jun 2022
Our air, weather, food, the health of diverse marine life and millions of jobs all depend on the ocean. But we have not done well as custodians of marine ecosystems. Here, we set out ten ways where human actions threaten the health of an essential environment.
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Is stagflation set to make an unwanted return?
18 May 2022
Surging inflation is leading to fears the world economy could be heading towards recession. While there are diverging views on whether we are entering a new era of stagflation, the medium-term growth-inflation trade off looks set to worsen with big implication for asset prices, argue Michael Grady and Peter Fitzgerald.
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The investment case for nature
17 May 2022
The impact of economic activity on the natural world has long been ignored. However, governments, companies and investors can all play a role in helping to protect nature.
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What does the data say? Ukraine-Russia: The human and economic costs of war
29 Apr 2022
In this month’s instalment of our visual series on topical themes, we look at the far-reaching human and economic consequences of the Ukraine-Russian war.
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Facing up to the ESG backlash
6 Apr 2022
Asset managers must better explain how ESG can improve investment returns and make the world a better place. Clear guidance to help investors choose between funds is also required.
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Energy in focus: Part 2: The pivot to green
28 Mar 2022
How will the surge in the prices of oil, gas and coal impact the transition to low or zero carbon sources of fuel? In the second part of our Q&A on the energy sector, experts from our credit, equities and ESG teams contemplate the challenges and opportunities in the pivot to green.
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Thick skins and tin ears: Facing up to the ESG backlash
25 Mar 2022
Mark Versey goes on the offensive to dispel recent criticisms against ESG investing.
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