About AIQ
Since its launch in 2016, AIQ has covered the big themes influencing financial markets and the global economy. We aim to give our clients in-depth analysis of the issues that affect their investments, from demographics to big data, from climate change to China’s growth. We also offer insights on more specialised topics, such as portfolio construction and cashflow-driven investing.
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Recent thinking

Economic Research
United Europe: From discord to harmony?
26 Jan 2021
Global politics are in flux as policymakers scramble to manage the pandemic and revive economies. Can Europe come together and carve a place for itself on the international stage, or will it end up a passive player buffeted by greater forces?
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Responsible Investing
Hot wheels: Cars, climate change and the great EV disconnect
25 Jan 2021
With traditional carmakers under intense pressure to cut emissions in the fight against climate change, investors are putting their money behind pure play electric vehicle producers. Alessandro Rovelli digs into the numbers to assess whether this trend is sustainable.
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Economic Research
Empire states of mind: Is the age of US exceptionalism at an end?
25 Jan 2021
As the world starts to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic, the US’s position as global hegemon will be under mortal threat from a resurgent China that looks to have escaped the virus relatively unscathed.
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Equities
What a carve up! The future of the internet
22 Jan 2021
Commercial and geopolitical forces are threatening to fracture the internet into competing regimes, making it harder for companies to operate across borders and potentially limiting their growth. We explore the implications for investors.
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Real Assets
Investing for impact in private debt to combat climate change
21 Jan 2021
Impact investment strategies will have an important role to play if the green credentials of the world’s stock of real estate is to be transformed, argue Gregor Bamert and Stanley Kwong.
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Fixed income
The path for oil and gas after COVID-19
20 Jan 2021
Post-COVID recovery initiatives from governments are increasingly taking a green path, but the response of oil and gas companies so far runs from denial to complete reinvention. Should they continue pumping oil for as long as they can to avoid destroying capital for investors, or do they need to accelerate efforts to future proof their businesses now?
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Equities
The tough arithmetic of #neversell stocks
19 Jan 2021
Over recent years, a group of established companies have traded at relatively high valuations for their robust competitive advantages and consistent growth records. But in a competitive economy, investors should not assume this will continue indefinitely, warns Giles Parkinson.
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Real Assets
Building back better: The path to net zero
18 Jan 2021
While much of the world’s focus continues to be on tackling the COVID-19 pandemic, the climate crisis also requires urgent attention. The number of countries and companies supporting the move to a lower-carbon world is growing, but practical challenges remain. How can we build back better after COVID, and navigate to a cleaner, safer and sustainable world?
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Equities
Our annual letter to company chairpersons
15 Jan 2021
As part of our engagement efforts, every January we send a letter to the chairs of companies we invest in (and some we don’t, but still want to use our influence with) to set out our stewardship priorities for the year. Here, in full, is our 2021 letter.
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Real Assets
Hydrogen: Back to the future
18 Dec 2020
The UK is the latest country to accelerate plans to develop hydrogen as part of its push to reach net zero. But it is not the first time hydrogen has attracted attention – it has been trumpeted by the scientific community as a possible wonder fuel for around a century. So, what’s changed now?
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Equities
Issuance, support from equities and volatility: The outlook for convertible bonds in 2021
18 Dec 2020
Shawn Mato, convertible bond fund manager, picks three themes that could have a big say in how the asset class performs in 2021.
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Multi-asset & multi-strategy
Vaccine hope, Biden and central bank policy: The outlook for multi-asset in 2021
17 Dec 2020
Sunil Krishnan highlights some of the themes that will shape multi-asset investing in 2021.
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Multi-asset & multi-strategy
Liquidity, uneven recoveries and debt sustainability: The outlook for emerging-market debt in 2021
17 Dec 2020
Liam Spillane, head of emerging market debt at Aviva Investors, picks three themes that could have a big say in how the asset class performs in 2021.
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Fixed income
Zombie revival, improving fundamentals and monetary policy: The outlook for high yield in 2021
17 Dec 2020
Kevin Mathews, Brent Finck and Sunita Kara, high yield portfolio managers at Aviva Investors, pick out three themes that will shape the asset class in 2021.
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Fixed income
Stimulus, M&A and US politics: The outlook for investment grade credit in 2021
17 Dec 2020
Mike Cho and Jonathan Manning, investment-grade portfolio managers at Aviva Investors, look at the themes that will shape the asset class in 2021.
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Real Assets
COVID recovery, net zero and policy: The outlook for UK infrastructure in 2021
16 Dec 2020
Darryl Murphy assesses the current state of the UK infrastructure market and the likely drivers of activity in 2021.
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