Executive Summary

A summary of our outlook for economies and markets.

Key investment themes and risks

The six key themes and risks which our House View team expect to drive financial markets.

Macro forecasts: charts and commentary

Our round-up of major economies; featuring charts and commentary.

Global market outlook and asset allocation

What our House View means for asset allocation and portfolio construction.

20:20 Perfect vision? Discerning the economic outlook for the year ahead

14 Jan 2019 15:30 GMT 60 minutes

Register for our next House View webcast and join Stewart Robertson, Senior Economist, and Jerome Nunan, Investment Director, Multi-Asset, as they discuss the Aviva Investors Q1 House View, touching on themes relating to growth, inflation, central bank policy options across the major global economies, and much more besides.

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About the House View

The Aviva Investors House View document is a comprehensive compilation of views and analysis from the major investment teams

The document is produced quarterly by Aviva Investors investment professionals and is overseen by the Investment Strategy team. Each quarter we hold a House View Forum at which the main issues and arguments are introduced, discussed and debated. The process by which the House View is constructed is a collaborative one – everyone will be aware of the main themes and key aspects of the outlook. Everyone has the right to challenge and all are encouraged to do so. The aim is to ensure that all contributors are fully aware of the thoughts of everyone else and that a broad consensus can be reached across the teams on the main aspects of the report.

The House View document serves two main purposes:

  • First, its preparation provides a comprehensive and forward-looking framework for discussion among the investment teams.
  • Secondly, it allows us to share our thinking and explain the reasons for our economic views and investment decisions to those whom they affect.

Not everyone will agree with all assumptions made and all of the conclusions reached. No-one can predict the future perfectly. But the contents of this report represent the best collective judgement of Aviva Investors on the current and future investment environment.

AIQ Investment Thinking

Get our perspective on key themes influencing investment markets globally.

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