Latest economic research thinking

Policy moves into the great unknown, but at what cost?

21 Jul 2020

Policymakers are dreaming up ever more radical experiments to try and pull economies out of what could be the deepest recession in living memory. But until the world can cure its addiction to debt, financial markets will remain on a knife edge.

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Five charts on investment resilience

21 Jul 2020

In troubled times, the benefits of portfolio diversification can be boosted by taking a fresh look at the drivers of resilience, as the following five charts illustrate.

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The Scientist: Didier Sornette

21 Jul 2020

AIQ speaks to the world-renowned risk expert Didier Sornette about the coronavirus pandemic and how organisations can stay resilient in the face of unexpected crises.

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The Decision Maker: Annie Duke

21 Jul 2020

Annie Duke is a World Series of Poker champion, speaker and consultant on decision making, and author of the upcoming book How To Decide. She discusses how biases influence our decisions, and the importance of diverse perspectives.

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The Entrepreneur: Margaret Heffernan

21 Jul 2020

Margaret Heffernan is an academic, entrepreneur and author. Her latest book, Uncharted: How to Map the Future Together, explores how organisations and individuals can find their bearings in an unpredictable world.

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The Disaster Risk Expert: Robert Glasser

21 Jul 2020

Dr Robert Glasser was formerly the United Nations Secretary General’s special representative for disaster risk reduction and head of the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. He is currently a visiting fellow at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. He explains how the rising number and intensity of natural hazards is creating an “era of disasters” and discusses mitigation and adaptation strategies.

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The Globalisation Expert: Ian Goldin

21 Jul 2020

Globalisation is a double-edged sword. Ian Goldin, professor of globalisation and development at the University of Oxford and author of The Butterfly Defect, discusses the systemic risks that have built up as an array of interconnections have spread their wings of influence across the globe.

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The Superforecaster: Warren Hatch

21 Jul 2020

Warren Hatch is CEO of Good Judgment Inc, a global network of superforecasters to help companies address complex problems, developed following research by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers. Hatch explains what makes a superforecaster different and the importance of teamwork to deliver more robust outcomes.

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The Probability Specialist: Sam Savage

21 Jul 2020

Professor Sam L. Savage of Stanford University, author of The Flaw of Averages: Why We Underestimate Risk in the Face of Uncertainty, helped pioneer the field of probability management while working with Royal Dutch Shell. He discusses how we can use scenario planning and probabilistic modelling to help us deal with complex risks.

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The Risk Engineer: Warren Black

21 Jul 2020

Warren Black is a qualified engineer, risk professional and complex systems theorist. He established Complexus in 2016 to research how risks need to be controlled within complex organisations, projects and programmes. AIQ asks him whether current risk management practices are adequate in a world transitioning into the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

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What do rising US-China tensions mean for global markets?

24 Jun 2020

In the latest instalment of our editorial series, Link, Aviva Investors experts discuss the prospects for financial markets and the world economy in the face of escalating hostilities between the US and China.

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Defined Benefit pensions de-risking: A covenant and investment view

23 Jun 2020

In the midst of the COVID-19 shock, Felix Mantz from Lincoln Pensions and Joachim Sudre from Aviva Investors explore how defined benefit pension schemes should plan their journey towards an end game and adopt a more holistic approach to risk.

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AIQ Investment Thinking

Get our perspective on key themes influencing investment markets globally.
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House View

A quarterly publication which encapsulates the thinking of our investment team.

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