23 September 2026 1 minute read
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Global bond markets remain under pressure due to renewed inflation concerns and a general shift to tighter monetary policy.

Figure 1: Sovereign bond yields under pressure as inflation concerns mount (per cent)

UK government bond yields are represented by the UK 10-Year Gilt Index (GTGBP10YR), US government bond yields by the US 10-Year Treasury Index (USGG10YR), German government bond yields (used as a proxy for the Euro Area) by the 10-Year Bund Index (GTDEM10YR), and Japanese government bond yields by 10-Year Japanese Government Bond Index (GTJPY10YR).

Source: Aviva Investors and Bloomberg, as at 21 September 2026.

 

Global bond markets remained under pressure as investors reassessed the outlook for inflation, economic growth and central bank policy. As a result, 10-year sovereign yields rose materially higher across the US, Japan, Germany and the UK. In September, the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan each raised interest rates by 25 basis points, reflecting renewed inflation concerns and a broader shift towards tighter monetary policy. By contrast, the Bank of England held rates unchanged, opting to wait for clearer evidence that the recent energy-driven inflation shock is becoming embedded in domestic price and wage pressures before tightening further.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

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