Latest economic research thinking

Could the euro zone periphery head off the rails again?

17 Apr 2019

Almost a decade on from the sovereign debt crisis, we explore whether the euro zone’s peripheral economies have materially improved or old vulnerabilities will again become apparent as growth slows.

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The AIQ Podcast: The future of Europe

21 Mar 2019

This latest episode of the AIQ Podcast explores what the future holds for the European project ahead of the European elections.

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Trading places: Southeast Asia seizes opportunities amid US-china spat

14 Mar 2019

Trade wars have disrupted supply chains and weighed on stock performance in emerging markets. But as manufacturing companies shift production away from China to evade tariffs, some of its neighbours are thriving.

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ECB support reveals much about Europe's lenders

12 Mar 2019

With cheap loans returning to the European Central Bank’s toolkit, questions must be asked again about the health of the region’s banks.

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The future of retirement

28 Feb 2019

The idea that in one’s sixties it might be time to step out of work and retire into a life of leisure is relatively recent. But with more people living longer, expectations of retirement are being reshaped.

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The trouble with capitalism

28 Feb 2019

Around the world, political and economic liberalisation have gone hand in hand since the early 1980s. However, as more countries turn to populist leaders, could the world be about to fall out of love with free-mar ket economics too?

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The ties that bind

28 Feb 2019

Brexit continues to dominate headlines in the UK, but the European Union faces other long-term challenges, from the rise of Euroscepticism in Italy to the stalled progress of euro zone reform.

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Interest rates on hold, but not in reverse

26 Feb 2019

Financial markets have surged since the start of the year after central banks appeared to put monetary policy tightening on hold. Our investment teams give their views on where monetary policy goes next and what that means for asset prices.

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Future of the euro zone: An interview with Ashoka Mody

21 Feb 2019

The received wisdom on the euro zone is that it needs to become more tightly integrated to survive. To ensure the resilience of the monetary union, fiscal transfers to peripheral economies and risk-sharing via the mutual issuance of Eurobonds are necessary and perhaps inevitable. Princeton economist Ashoka Mody takes a different view.

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The future is Asian: An interview with Parag Khanna

20 Feb 2019

How will the rise of emerging Asian economies affect the global balance of market and economic power? AIQ speaks to a leading authority on the subject.

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Can central banks maintain their independence?

14 Feb 2019

Central bank independence is widely regarded as a prerequisite for successful monetary policy. However, with economies having struggled over the past decade and inflation no longer seen as a problem, that view is being contested, argues Stewart Robertson, chief economist at Aviva Investors.

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Rising volatility may boost yen but hit dollar

12 Feb 2019

Greenback’s role as a haven is threatened by US debt load and cyclical shortcomings

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AIQ Investment Thinking

Get our perspective on key themes influencing investment markets globally.
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House View

A quarterly publication which encapsulates the thinking of our investment team.

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